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Diversification and Position Sizing - Graham's Guidance
Diversification and Position Sizing - Graham's Guidance
Portfolio size rules for defensive vs. enterprising investors, and how margin of safety influences position size.
Published: 2025-12-26
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Graham's view
"The risk of paying too high a price for good-quality stocks—while a real one—is not the chief hazard confronting the average buyer of securities." - The Intelligent Investor, Ch. 14
"The defensive investor must confine himself to the shares of important companies with a long record of profitable operations and in strong financial condition." - The Intelligent Investor, Ch. 14
Diversification tempers errors; quality plus margin of safety drives survival.
Defensive investor guidelines
Aim for broad but sensible diversification (e.g., 10-30 names).
Require strong balance sheets, stable earnings/dividends, and moderate valuation.
Keep single-name weights modest and avoid leverage.
Enterprising investor guidelines
Can be more selective but should still hold 10-20 names.
Demand clear margins of safety (NCAV discounts, low multiples on stable earnings).
Tilt sizes with conviction and safety, not with excitement.
Position sizing rules of thumb
Start with equal weights, then adjust for margin of safety and business quality.
Cap any single position to avoid portfolio impairment from a single mistake.
Reduce weights in thinner-safety situations; increase only when safety is robust and within your circle.
Quick checklist
How many independent positions do I hold?
Does any one position threaten more than a tolerable loss if wrong?
Is sizing tied to safety and quality, not to hype or recent performance?
Are defensive holdings truly defensive (records, balance sheets, moderate price)?
Takeaways
Diversification is a risk-dampener; margin of safety is a risk-absorber.
Defensive investors stay broad and high-quality; enterprising investors stay selective but still diversified.
Let safety and competence drive size—not noise or price momentum.