Avoiding Serial Diluters in Microcaps
Screens, filing tells, and position-sizing rules that keep serial diluters out of your net-net portfolio.
Published: 2026-02-08
dilution
microcap
warrants
convertibles
ncav
Fast screens to exclude serial diluters
- Share count CAGR > 20 percent over 4-8 quarters.
- Frequent S-1/424B filings, ATM updates, or equity line agreements.
- Convertibles with floorless or reset features.
- Warrants issued below market with anti-dilution protections.
Filing tells to read closely
- Subsequent events: new raises signed after quarter end.
- Use of proceeds that just fund working capital burn.
- Covenant breaches leading to equity cures.
- Compensation heavy in cheap options or RSUs.
Portfolio rules
- Cap position size when average daily dollar volume is thin.
- Demand stronger balance sheets (cash/liabilities > 1.0x) if dilution history exists.
- Pair dilution screen with NCAV/NTAV discounts to avoid paying for shrinking pies.
- Exit if share issuance exceeds your modeled budget without clear ROI.
Internal links and tools
Compliance note
This guide is educational and not investment advice. Do your own research or consult a professional adviser.
Frequently Asked Questions
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What counts as serial dilution?
Repeated equity issuance or convertibles that grow share count 5 percent plus per quarter without value creation.
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Is all dilution bad?
No. Funding high-ROI projects can be fine, but microcap net-nets rarely clear that bar.
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How do I monitor dilution risk fast?
Track basic/diluted shares each quarter and flag ATM programs, variable-price convertibles, and warrant resets.